Published works

Published works

The Effects of Fire-Plume Dynamics on the Lateral and Longitudinal Spread of Long-Range Spotting Conference Paper 2014

TitleThe Effects of Fire-Plume Dynamics on the Lateral and Longitudinal Spread of Long-Range Spotting Conference Paper 2014
Publication TypeConference Paper
Year of Publication2015
AuthorsThurston, W, Tory, KJ, Kepert, JD, Fawcett, RJB
Conference NameBushfire and Natural Hazards CRC and AFAC Wellington Conference 2014
Date Published02/2015
Abstract

The lofting of firebrands from bushfires into a background atmospheric flow can lead to spotting downwind of the fire front. Spotting is a hazardous phenomenon because it leads to both unpredictable and accelerated fire spread, as winds aloft are often in a different direction from and faster than the near-surface winds. Here we use a two-stage modelling process to address some of the uncertainty associated with spotting, by quantifying the lateral and longitudinal spread in the landing location of potential firebrands and how this spread is affected by the dynamics of the fire plume.

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