Student researcher

Graeme Riddell
Dr Graeme Riddell Research Leader

This PhD focused on incorporating uncertainty and complexity into disaster risk management and assessment. This was achieved by integrating foresight principles into disaster risk management to explore emergent risks. The research has produced specific approaches of how this can be achieved and describes and demonstrates this across case-study applications throughout Australia. There are also particular examples of how scenarios and scenario planning can be used for risk assessment and management and how they should be designed and modelled for greatest impact.

This project was completed in December 2019. 

Year Type Citation
2019 Conference Paper Riddell, G. et al. Future risk framework: understanding tomorrow’s risk and what we can do to reduce it. AFAC19 powered by INTERSCHUTZ - Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC Research Forum (Australian Institute for Disaster Resilience, 2019). at <https://knowledge.aidr.org.au/resources/australian-journal-of-emergency-management-monograph-series/>
2019 Journal Article Riddell, G., van Delden, H., Maier, H. & Zecchin, A. Exploratory scenario analysis for disaster risk reduction: Considering alternative pathways in disaster risk assessment. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (2019). doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101230
2019 Report van Delden, H. et al. UNHaRMED framework report: a co-creation approach for the development and use of decision support systems for disaster risk reduction. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2019).
2019 Thesis Riddell, G. Foresight for risk – using scenarios for strategic risk assessment and management of emergent disaster risk. School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering (2019). at <https://digital.library.adelaide.edu.au/dspace/handle/2440/122575>
2018 Conference Paper Riddell, G. et al. Applying unharmed for risk reduction planning – comparing strategies and long-term effectiveness. AFAC18 (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2018).
2018 Journal Article Riddell, G., van Delden, H., Dandy, G., Zecchin, A. & Maier, H. Enhancing the policy relevance of exploratory scenarios: generic approach and application to disaster risk reduction. Futures 99, 1-15 (2018).
2018 Report Riddell, G., van Delden, H. & Maier, H. Urbanisation pressures and flood risk: Gawler River catchment and regional development. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2018).
2018 Report Maier, H. et al. Improved decision support for natural hazard risk reduction: annual project report 2017-18. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2018).
2018 Report March, A. et al. Practical and theoretical issues: integrating urban planning and emergency management. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2018).
2017 Conference Paper Riddell, G. et al. Multi-hazard mitigation planning, combining modelling, scenarios and optimisation: results from South Australia. AFAC17 (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2017).
2017 Journal Article Newman, J. et al. Review of literature on decision support systems for natural hazard risk reduction: current status and future research directions. Environmental Modelling & Software 96, 378-409 (2017).
2017 Report Maier, H. et al. Improved decision support for natural hazard risk reduction: annual project report 2016-17. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2017).
2017 Report Riddell, G. et al. Futures Greater Adelaide 2050: An exploration of disaster risk and the future. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2017).
2016 Conference Paper Riddell, G. et al. A spatial decision support system for natural hazard risk reduction policy assessment and planning. AFAC16 (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2016).
2016 Journal Article Maier, H. et al. An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?. Environmental Modelling & Software 81, 154-164 (2016).
2016 Report Maier, H. et al. Natural hazard mitigation decision support system: Annual project report 2015-2016. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2016).
2015 Conference Paper Newman, J. et al. A decision support framework for multi-hazard mitigation planning - non peer reviewed extended abstract. Adelaide Conference 2015 (2015).
2015 Report Maier, H. et al. Natural hazard mitigation decision support system: Annual project report 2014-2015. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2015).
2014 Report Newman, J. et al. Literature Review on Decision Support Systems for Optimising Long-term Natural Hazard Mitigation Policy and Project Portfolios. (2014).
Handling uncertainty in optimal decision-making for natural hazard mitigation planning
25 Aug 2014
Modelling, simulation and decision support systems are critical for decision making for natural disaster...
Optimising mitigation measures policy and planning decision support
25 Aug 2014
We are developing a decision support system for the assessment of policy and planning investment options for...
Graeme Riddell Conference Poster 2016
12 Aug 2016
Risk is a complex combination of hazards, exposure and vulnerability.