@article {BF-2330,
	title = {Comparison of the Sensitivity of Landscape-fire-succession Models to Variation in Terrain, Fuel Pattern, Climate and Weather},
	journal = {Landscape Ecology},
	volume = {21},
	year = {2006},
	month = {01/2006},
	pages = {121 - 137},
	abstract = {The purpose of this study was to compare the sensitivity of modelled area burned to environmental factors
across a range of independently-developed landscape-fire-succession models. The sensitivity of area burned
to variation in four factors, namely terrain (flat, undulating and mountainous), fuel pattern (finely and
coarsely clumped), climate (observed, warmer \& wetter, and warmer \& drier) and weather (year-to-year
variability) was determined for four existing landscape-fire-succession models (EMBYR, FIRESCAPE,
LANDSUM and SEM-LAND) and a new model implemented in the LAMOS modelling shell (LAMOS(
DS)). Sensitivity was measured as the variance in area burned explained by each of the four factors,
and all of the interactions amongst them, in a standard generalised linear modelling analysis. Modelled area
burned was most sensitive to climate and variation in weather, with four models sensitive to each of these
factors and three models sensitive to their interaction. Models generally exhibited a trend of increasing area
burned from observed, through warmer and wetter, to warmer and drier climates with a 23-fold increase in
area burned, on average, from the observed to the warmer, drier climate. Area burned was sensitive to
terrain for FIRESCAPE and fuel pattern for EMBYR. These results demonstrate that the models are
generally more sensitive to variation in climate and weather as compared with terrain complexity and fuel
pattern, although the sensitivity to these latter factors in a small number of models demonstrates the
importance of representing key processes. The models that represented fire ignition and spread in a relatively},
	doi = {10.1007/s10980-005-7302-9},
	author = {Geoffrey J. Cary and Robert E. Keane and Gardner, Robert H. and Lavorel, S and Flannigan, Mike D. and Davies, Ian D. and Li, Chao and Lenihan, James M. and Rupp, TS and Florent Mouillot}
}
@article {BF-1069,
	title = {A classification of landscape fire succession models: spatial simulations of fire and vegetation dynamics.},
	journal = {Ecological Modelling. },
	volume = {179},
	number = {1},
	year = {2005},
	month = {11/15/2004},
	pages = {Mar-27},
	author = {Robert E. Keane and Geoffrey J. Cary and Davies, Ian D. and Flannigan, Mike D. and Gardner, Robert H. and Lavorel, S and Lenihan, James M. and Li, Chao and Rupp, TS}
}
