PUBLICATIONS
Published works
How Safe is Safe Enough? Melbourne Case Study
Title | How Safe is Safe Enough? Melbourne Case Study |
Publication Type | Conference Paper |
Year of Publication | 2019 |
Authors | Tsang, H-H, Daniell, J, Wenzel, F, Wilson, J |
Conference Name | Australian Earthquake Engineering Society 2019 Conference |
Date Published | 12/2019 |
Conference Location | Newcastle |
Keywords | building, Collapse, earthquake, Earthquake fatality, F-N function, Societal risk |
Abstract | Residual risk exists in our buildings even if they were designed in conformance with modern codes of practice. The risk of being killed by earthquakes in Melbourne was discussed in the AEES 2018 Conference (Tsang et al. 2018a). This follow-up paper attempts to address a fundamental question in seismic design: “How Safe is Safe Enough?” Various approaches have been implemented or proposed in the last decade for setting risk-targeted performance requirements for seismic design. A target collapse risk limit for a single building may be considered very low by some; however, the aggregated risk for society could become significant, especially for a metropolitan city like Melbourne. This paper introduces an approach proposed by the authors (refer Tsang et al. 2019for full details and discussion)for evaluating the adequacy of existing code level for collapse prevention and life safety by comparing societal risk functions based on regional earthquake loss modelling with a proposed regulatory requirement that aims to limit the earthquake mortality rate to “as low as reasonably practicable (ALARP)”. The proposed approach is then applied to Melbourne in a case study. The results show that the earthquake fatality risk for society appears to be unacceptable. |
URL | https://aees.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/66-Hing-Ho-Tsang.pdf |
Refereed Designation | Unknown |