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Published works
Developing better predictions for extreme water levels:Annual project report 2015-2016
Title | Developing better predictions for extreme water levels:Annual project report 2015-2016 |
Publication Type | Report |
Year of Publication | 2016 |
Authors | Pattiaratchi, C |
Document Number | 173 |
Date Published | 08/2016 |
Institution | Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC |
City | Melbourne |
Report Number | 173 |
Abstract | The occurrence of extreme water level events along low-lying, highly populated and/or developed coastlines can lead to devastating impacts on coastal infrastructure. Therefore it is very important that the probabilities of extreme water levels are accurately evaluated to inform flood and coastal management and for future planning. The aim of this study is to provide estimates of present day extreme total water level exceedance probabilities (including the action of surface gravity waves) around the whole coastline of Australia, arising from combinations of mean sea level, astronomical tide and storm surges generated by both extra-tropical and tropical storms. Significant progress has been made in the four main areas of investigation. In particular, the modelling system now incorporates and combines the main 3 areas of development detailed in the project aims (wave-set-up, extra-tropical transition, continental shelf waves). Simulations are currently being undertaken with the use of an unstructured grid for the Australian region at a 100m resolution at the coastline. Model validations, through comparison with field measurements have been completed for specific events including: Tropical cyclones in WA (TC George) and Queensland (TC Yasi) , Extratropical Transition event in WA (TC Alby) and, Extra-tropical storms in WA and SA (winter 2007), and Continental Shelf Waves. Simulations have also been undertaken for the recent east coast low event in New South Wales in June 2016.
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