End User representatives
Fire behaviour in dry eucalypt forests in Australia is characterised by the occurrence of spotfires—new fires ignited by the transport of embers ahead of an existing fire. Under most burning conditions, spotfires play little role in the overall propagation of a fire, except where spread is impeded by breaks in fuel or topography. Spotfires allow these impediments to be overcome.
However, under conditions of severe bushfire behaviour, spotfire occurrence can be so prevalent that spotting becomes the dominant propagation mechanism and the fire spreads as a cascade of spotfires forming a ‘pseudo’ front.
It has long been recognised that the presence of multiple individual fires affects the behaviour and spread of all fires present. The converging of separate individual fires into larger fires is called coalescence and can lead to rapid increases in fire intensity and spread rate, leading to the phenomenon of a ‘fire storm’. This coalescence effect is frequently used in prescribed burning, with multiple point ignitions used to rapidly burn out large areas.
This project is focusing on:
- Fire coalescence to provide better predictions of fire propagation
- The intrinsic dynamics of flame front propagation as a contributor to fire spread across different spatial and temporal scales
- Within a simulation framework an end-to-end model of the behaviour of mass spotfires, from firebrand/ember launch to fire coalescence.
The modelling and simulation aspects of the project have contributed to understanding the processes that drive fire coalescence and dynamic fire spread. In particular, the research has addressed the role that fire-line geometry (especially curvature) plays in the dynamic propagation of bushfires.
The team has demonstrated the performance advantages of fire propagation models incorporating curvature dependence when applied to simple wind-driven fires at both laboratory and field scales. The research has also produced fundamental insights into how the shape of the fire line affects the dynamic behaviour of the fire as a whole. Coupled fire-atmosphere modelling was used to investigate how fire-induced air movements (pyroconvection) can produce significantly enhanced rates of spread for certain fire shapes.
Utilising the research outcomes will include development of education and training materials relating to dynamic fire behaviour and extreme fire development, which will incorporate the research findings on fire coalescence and mass spotfires.
Research findings will also be used to develop metrics of relevance to the National Fire Danger Rating Project. In particular, existing measures of ‘convective fire power’ based solely on information relating to the fire perimeter will be extended to include contributions from within flaming zones where spot fire coalescence can contribute significantly to pyroconvective release.
|2016||Journal Article||Natural hazards in Australia: extreme bushfire. Climatic Change 139, 85-99 (2016).|
|2016||Journal Article||Curvature effects in the dynamic propagation of wildfires. International Journal of Wildland Fire 25, (2016).|
|2016||Report||Fire coalescence and mass spot fire dynamics: experimentation, modelling and simulation: Annual project report 2015-2016. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2016).|
|2015||Presentation||Dynamic modelling of fire coalescence. (2015).|
|2015||Report||Fire coalescence and mass spotfire dynamics: Experimentation, modelling and simulation - Annual project report 2014-2015. (Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC, 2015).|
|04 Dec 2014||Fire coalescence and mass spotfire dynamics||704.99 KB (704.99 KB)||fire, fire severity, modelling|
|22 Mar 2016||Severe and High Impact Weather - cluster overview||0 bytes (0 bytes)||fire, modelling, scenario analysis|
|20 Oct 2016||Fire coalescence and mass spotfire dynamics - project overview||0 bytes (0 bytes)||fire impacts, fire severity, fire weather|
|24 Oct 2016||Fire coalescence and mass spot fire dynamics||4.18 MB (4.18 MB)||fire, fire impacts, fire weather|
|25 Oct 2016||Next generation fire modelling||1.35 MB (1.35 MB)||fire impacts, fire severity, fire weather|
|27 Feb 2017||Fire Australia Issue One 2017||5.79 MB (5.79 MB)||child-centred, fire severity, resilience|
|07 Jul 2017||Building bushfire predictive services capability||9.97 MB (9.97 MB)||fire, fire weather, modelling|
|07 Jul 2017||Building bushfire predictive services capability - Simon Heemstra||0 bytes (0 bytes)||fire, fire impacts, modelling|
Spotting can be the dominant fire propagation mechanism during times of extreme fire weather. Spot fires can merge and collapse on one another creating regions of deep flaming, which produce violent pyroconvection. Understanding and modelling the intrinsic dynamics of spot fire coalescence is an important step in providing ways of mitigating the effects of extreme fires.
Predictive models of natural hazards have become a necessity for emergency management, mitigation and adaptation planning.
Junction fires occur when two oblique fire lines intersect with one another. The interaction of the two fire lines means that junction fires can exhibit unexpected fire behaviour, with enhanced rates of spread in the vicinity of the junction point. Quantifying these interactions is essential for the development of next generation fire spread models, which will allow prediction of dynamic fire propagation.
|Natural hazard exposure information modelling framework||Dr Krishna Nadimpalli||Geoscience Australia|
|Threshold conditions for extreme fire behaviour||Dr Trent Penman||University of Melbourne|
|Coupled fire-atmosphere modelling||Dr Mika Peace||Bureau of Meteorology|