@article {bnh-6737, title = {Deconstructing factors contributing to the 2018 fire weather in Queensland, Australia}, volume = {101}, year = {2020}, month = {02/2020}, pages = {S15-S21}, edition = {1}, abstract = {

Factors including the circulation pattern and antecedent conditions contributed to 2018 northeast Australian fires. High background temperatures also played a role for which model evidence suggests an anthropogenic influence.

}, keywords = {Fire, Fire weather, Queensland}, doi = {10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0144.1}, url = {https://www.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm/publications/bulletin-of-the-american-meteorological-society-bams/explaining-extreme-events-from-a-climate-perspective/}, author = {Sophie Lewis and Stephanie Blake and Blair Trewin and Mitchell Black and Dowdy, Andrew J and Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick and Andrew King and Jason J. Sharples} } @article {bnh-7478, title = {Climate Change Increases the Potential for Extreme Wildfires}, journal = {Geophysical Research Letters}, volume = {46}, year = {2019}, month = {07/2019}, pages = {8517-8526}, abstract = {


Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) wildfires cause devastation in many regions globally. Given that fire-atmosphere coupling is associated with pyroCbs, future changes in coincident high index values of atmospheric instability and dryness (C-Haines) and near-surface fire weather are assessed for southeastern Australia using a regional climate projection ensemble. We show that observed pyroCb events occur predominantly on forested, rugged landscapes during extreme C-Haines conditions, but over a wide range of surface fire weather conditions. Statistically significant increases in the number of days where both C-Haines and near-surface fire weather values are conducive to pyroCb development are projected across southeastern Australia, predominantly for November (spring), and less strongly for December (summer) in 2060-2079 versus 1990-2009, with future C-Haines increases linked to increased 850-hPa dewpoint depression. The increased future occurrence of conditions conducive to pyroCb development and their extension into spring have implications for mitigating these dangerous wildfires and urbanizing fire-prone landscapes.

}, keywords = {atmospheric instability, dewpoint depression, Fire weather, Natural hazards, pyrocumulonimbus, regional climate modeling}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083699}, url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL083699}, author = {Giovanni Virgilio and Jason P. Evans and Stephanie Blake and Matthew Armstrong and Dowdy, Andrew J and Jason J. Sharples and McRae} }