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This project was commissioned and funded entirely by the Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning, Victoria.

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The probability of bushfire ignition in Victoria

Assessing bushfire risk requires an understanding of both fire spread and ignition. This project investigates the probability of bushfire ignition in space and time to assist in risk forecasting and operational decision making. A logistic regression model will make use of weather, topography and vegetation to produce probability maps for ignition.

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