John Bally

End User Rep
About
John Bally

Lead end user

This project is using high-resolution modelling, together with a range of meteorological data, to better understand and predict important meteorological natural hazards, including fire weather, tropical cyclones, severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall. The outcomes from the project will contribute to reducing the impact and cost of these hazards on people, infrastructure, the economy and the environment.
Research team:
This research has developed a prototype, high-resolution soil-moisture analysis system called JASMIN, which is a significant improvement in accuracy compared to currently used models. It is based on research that examines the use of land surface models, remotely sensed satellite measurements and data assimilation techniques to improve the monitoring and prediction of soil dryness. The new information will be calibrated for use within the existing fire prediction systems. This retains the accuracy, temporal and spatial resolution of the new product without changing the overall climatology of Forest Fire Danger Index and other calculations based on soil moisture.
This research into interactions with topography, potential for pyro-convection, potential for three dimensional interactions, potential for winds to change substantially around a fire, water vapour dry slots, plume development and spotting process will be integrated into a formal, quantitative system for use with the current fire forecasting system.
Mitigating the effects of severe fires, floods and heatwaves through the improvements of land dryness measures and forecasts
25 Aug 2014
This project will improve Australia’s ability to manage extreme events by developing a state of the...

Resources credited

Type Released Title Download Key Topics
Presentation-Slideshow 07 Jul 2017 Building bushfire predictive services capability PDF icon Save (9.97 MB) fire, fire weather, modelling
Presentation-Slideshow 08 Sep 2014 Managing severe weather - progress and opportunities PDF icon Save (2.61 MB)
Presentation-Slideshow 07 Aug 2014 Fire Weather Research and Development PDF icon Save (3.3 MB) fire weather, governance

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