Planning for the future: prioritising mitigation options and improving risk reduction
Future risk is a function of decisions made today. Hazard Note 30 reports on research that has developed tools to help emergency managers and planners better understand how risks from multiple natural hazards change into the future and how to best manage and minimise these risks.
Modelling future risks from coastal inundation, flooding, bushfires and earthquakes and how they may vary based on climate, economic and population changes, the system is coupled with processes to consider how a region may develop into the future. It allows emergency managers and planners to consider how to best mitigate risks, while taking into account the resources available to undertake mitigation activities.
Maier HR, Guillaume JHA, van Delden H, Riddell GA, Haasnoot M, Kwakkel JH (2016), An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: how do they fit together? Environmental Modelling and Software 81, pp 154-164.
Riddell GA, van Delden H, Dandy GC, Maier HR, Zecchin AC, Newman JN, Newland CP (2017), Futures Greater Adelaide 2050: an exploration of disaster risk and the future, Bushfire and Natural Hazards CRC.